Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003315 0.003477 0.003642 0.003824 0.004018 0.004220 0.004446
2025-06-01 0.003024 0.003264 0.003520 0.003812 0.004138 0.004493 0.004909
2025-06-08 0.002826 0.003109 0.003418 0.003781 0.004199 0.004668 0.005237
2025-06-15 0.002655 0.002963 0.003307 0.003721 0.004208 0.004768 0.005468
2025-06-22 0.002517 0.002845 0.003216 0.003670 0.004217 0.004859 0.005682
2025-06-29 0.002429 0.002776 0.003175 0.003672 0.004282 0.005014 0.005974
2025-07-06 0.002292 0.002642 0.003050 0.003564 0.004205 0.004988 0.006033
2025-07-13 0.002227 0.002590 0.003018 0.003567 0.004262 0.005125 0.006303
2025-07-20 0.002192 0.002572 0.003027 0.003617 0.004377 0.005339 0.006679
2025-07-27 0.002121 0.002507 0.002972 0.003585 0.004384 0.005411 0.006868
2025-08-03 0.002059 0.002451 0.002928 0.003562 0.004400 0.005494 0.007072
2025-08-10 0.002000 0.002395 0.002882 0.003535 0.004408 0.005563 0.007259
2025-08-17 0.001979 0.002389 0.002897 0.003589 0.004527 0.005790 0.007682
2025-08-24 0.001932 0.002346 0.002865 0.003578 0.004557 0.005895 0.007934
2025-08-31 0.001880 0.002296 0.002821 0.003550 0.004562 0.005961 0.008131
2025-09-07 0.001820 0.002233 0.002759 0.003494 0.004525 0.005967 0.008235
2025-09-14 0.001767 0.002178 0.002705 0.003448 0.004499 0.005986 0.008358
2025-09-21 0.001736 0.002151 0.002687 0.003449 0.004540 0.006105 0.008640
2025-09-28 0.001668 0.002073 0.002599 0.003350 0.004433 0.005999 0.008561
2025-10-05 0.001641 0.002049 0.002583 0.003353 0.004473 0.006113 0.008840
2025-10-12 0.001631 0.002049 0.002598 0.003399 0.004578 0.006328 0.009294
2025-10-19 0.001595 0.002011 0.002562 0.003370 0.004569 0.006368 0.009459
2025-10-26 0.001563 0.001978 0.002532 0.003349 0.004572 0.006426 0.009655